Wikipedia: List of predictions for autonomous Tesla vehicles by Elon Musk

Elon Musk has repeatedly offered public projections regarding the timeline and capabilities of Tesla's autonomous driving systems, beginning as early as 2013. As of January 2024, these systems, known as Full Self-Driving (FSD) and Autopilot, are classified by the SAE as Level 2 Advanced Driver-Assistance Systems. This classification indicates that the driver remains responsible for monitoring the vehicle and intervening when necessary.

The significance of these statements is underscored by a February 2023 securities fraud lawsuit filed by Tesla investors. They alleged that Musk's pronouncements about the progress of autonomous Tesla vehicles constituted misleading statements that inflated stock value. However, in September 2024, a judge dismissed the lawsuit, accepting Tesla's argument that Musk's statements constituted "corporate puffery"—essentially, generalized, optimistic business projections rather than specific, verifiable promises. This ruling highlights the legal distinction between aspirational corporate language and factual misrepresentation.